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Hold the iPhone! Amazon primed to be larger than Apple

March 8, 2018 11:36 PM
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Amazon's stock has surged 83 per cent over the past year, bolstered by scorchingly fast revenue growth. — Reuters picSAN FRANCISCO, March 9 ― Apple Inc, the world's most valuable publicly listed company, is in danger of being beaten by Amazon.com Inc to the US$1 trillion (RM3.9 trillion) mark.

Wall Street's optimism about last year's 10th anniversary iPhone had propelled Apple's stock 24 per cent higher over the past 12 months, giving it a market capitalisation of US$893 billion.

That is US$141 billion more than the US$752 billion market value of Amazon, the world's third most valuable publicly listed company, but Amazon has been quickly closing the gap.

Amazon's stock has surged 83 per cent over the past year, bolstered by scorchingly fast revenue growth as more shopping moves online and businesses shift their computing operations to the cloud, where Amazon Web Services leads the market.

In January, Amazon announced that it, Berkshire Hathaway Inc and JPMorgan Chase & Co would form a company to cut health care costs for their employees, which was widely seen as a threat to the existing US healthcare system and underscored Amazon's ability to disrupt markets.

Amazon dislodged Microsoft Corp as the No. 3 US company by market capitalisation in February.

At US$783 billion, Alphabet Inc has the second largest market capitalisation. The Google parent company's stock has grown about 33 per cent over the past year, faster than Apple but far slower than Amazon.

Meanwhile, optimism about Apple's iPhone X has given way to concerns that demand for the US$1,000 device may be weaker than expected.

To be sure, past stock gains are not a reliable predictor of future performance, and the surge in Amazon shares in recent years has been exceptional by most standards.

But if Amazon's stock were to keep growing on the trajectory seen over the past year, the company's market capitalisation would hit US$1 trillion in late August. Apple would reach US$1 trillion around a week later if its stock price continued to rise at the same pace seen over the past year.

Alphabet would not reach US$1 trillion until 2019 if its stock price continued to rise at the same pace seen over the past year.

Most Wall Street analysts are not quite that enthusiastic about the growth of Apple and Amazon. Analysts on average expect Apple's stock price to rise 11 per cent and reach US$195 within the next 12 months, which would put its market capitalization at US$989 billion, according to Thomson Reuters data.

Analysts covering Amazon on average expect its stock to rise 10 per cent within the next year to reach US$1,700, which would give it a market value of US$823 billion.

Source: themalaymailonline.com

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